Fondazione GRINS
Growing Resilient,
Inclusive and Sustainable
Galleria Ugo Bassi 1, 40121, Bologna, IT
C.F/P.IVA 91451720378
Finanziato dal Piano Nazionale di Ripresa e Resilienza (PNRR), Missione 4 (Infrastruttura e ricerca), Componente 2 (Dalla Ricerca all’Impresa), Investimento 1.3 (Partnership Estese), Tematica 9 (Sostenibilità economica e finanziaria di sistemi e territori).



Open Access
The digital economy can function either as a catalyst to stimulate economic growth or else as a driver of socioeconomic inequality when its benefits are unevenly distributed. This study investigates the effect of rural digital connectivity on income inequality in Italy. Utilizing NUTS 3 panel data spanning 2014–2022, we conduct a counterfactual Difference-in-Differences approach with continuous treatment intensity to estimate the impact of introducing rural broadband coverage at speeds of 30 and 100 Mbps on multiple measures of income distribution, including the Gini, Theil, and Atkinson indices. The empirical framework incorporates a comprehensive set of socioeconomic controls, as well as provincial and time fixed effects, to account for unobserved heterogeneity and regional path dependencies. Our findings indicate that broadband expansion is significantly associated with increasing inequality, suggesting that access alone does not guarantee inclusive outcomes, particularly in localities characterized by structural fragility and limited human capital. Additional heterogeneity and spatial analyses demonstrate that these inequality effects are more evident in southern provinces and localities with a higher concentration of inner areas, where the digital divide remains more pronounced. These findings accentuate the dual role of digitalization and highlight the necessity of coordinated policy interventions that combine infrastructure investment with digital skills development, institutional capacity-building, and spatially integrated governance strategies.
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AKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The authors thank Giulio Pedrini and Paolo Maranzano for their valuable suggestions and insightful comments. This study was carried out within the GRINS—Growing Resilient, INclusive and Sustainable project and received funding from the European Union Next-GenerationEU (NATIONAL RECOVERY AND RESILIENCE PLAN (NRRP), MISSION 4, COMPONENT 2, INVESTMENT 1.3—D.D. 1558 11/10/2022, PE00000018, CUP: H93C22000650001, Spoke 7 Territorial sustainability). The manuscript reflects only the authors’ views and opinions, neither the European Union nor the European Commission can be considered responsible for them. Angela S. Bergantino acknowledges the “Micro and peer-to-peer shared mobility for Urban Sustainability and Accessibility—MUSA project” within “Progetti di Ricerca di Rilevante Interesse Nazionale” (PRIN)—D.D. n. 104 -02/02/2022 CUP H53D23005000006. Mario Intini acknowledges the “SUITABLE (SUstainable mobIliTy and AccessiBiLity in pEriurban environments) project”, within “Progetti di Ricerca di Rilevante Interesse Nazionale” (PRIN)—D.D. n. 104 -02/02/2022 CUP H53D23004960006.
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